BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 232778 | 6810.41 | 187259 | 5472.77 | 476761 | 13965.95 | |
INDEX OPTIONS | 464340 | 13424.27 | 414274 | 11964.14 | 1253343 | 36355.01 | |
STOCK FUTURES | 208063 | 5429.97 | 222849 | 5893.43 | 1117718 | 28783.75 | |
STOCK OPTIONS | 5052 | 143.20 | 6605 | 186.67 | 4942 | 143.82 | |
FII BUY IN F&O | 2290.83CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURE | 1337.64 CR | ||||
FII NET BUY | 3324.59 CR | DII NET SELL | 1716.85 CR | ||||
Notes: | |||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Thursday, March 31, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 31-Mar-2011
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 30-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
INDEX FUTURES | 184175 | 5355.39 | 158059 | 4586.60 | 667431 | 19428.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
INDEX OPTIONS | 341144 | 9827.64 | 310602 | 8938.89 | 2045563 | 58998.13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
STOCK FUTURES | 254964 | 6682.70 | 264573 | 6975.15 | 1255824 | 32521.17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
STOCK OPTIONS | 5519 | 164.34 | 6659 | 196.01 | 41353 | 1139.29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL | BUY | 22030.08 | SELL | 20696.65 | O I | 112087.59 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FII BUY IN F&O | 1333.43 CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURES | 768.79 CR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FII NET BUY | 739.61 CR | DII NET SELL | 615.34 CR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Notes: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
Wednesday, March 30, 2011
NIFTY FIBONACCI RESISTANCE
Nifty has retraced 68.2% @5797, of the fall from 6181 to 5177.A close above 5797 will only add more strength to the bull, with expiry day arriving, current upmove should not end without adding more pains to the bears camp.
FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT AND CHANNEL TOP |
NIFTY GARTLEY |
In the second chart is shown the prices taking a pause at the bottom of the price range of the Gartley pattern.A good news for the bears is that the pattern will be completed on Wednesday but not before taking every single bear out of trade.
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 29-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | ||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | |
INDEX FUTURES | 209056 | 6029.44 | 205798 | 5931.00 | 661725 | 19070.83 |
INDEX OPTIONS | 315627 | 8963.89 | 290757 | 8235.78 | 2031639 | 58071.56 |
STOCK FUTURES | 257844 | 6575.36 | 261817 | 6683.22 | 1257293 | 32250.68 |
STOCK OPTIONS | 7957 | 225.62 | 7841 | 219.57 | 43073 | 1186.26 |
FII BUY IN F&O | 724.74CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURE | 98.44 CR | |||
FII NET BUY | 1291.54CR | DII NET SELL | 474.17CR | |||
Notes: | ||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | ||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | ||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | ||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | ||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
ICHIMOKU Price above komu(Cloud)
The bulls are gaining strength by the day, conquering every resistance with ease, Yesterday the close was near 200DMA, this has not even been tested today.
In Ichimoku pattern this is for the first time since the fall from Jan that the prices have moved above the komu, the level for komu till 26th April is 5690, treat it as the pivot for the coming month.
PRICE ABOVE KOMU &200DMA |
Labels:
ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO
Monday, March 28, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 28-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | ||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | |
INDEX FUTURES | 232388 | 6631.17 | 202803 | 5783.19 | 599219 | 17109.47 |
INDEX OPTIONS | 371255 | 10461.51 | 367729 | 10358.54 | 1998615 | 56736.19 |
STOCK FUTURES | 266031 | 6900.31 | 269577 | 6980.84 | 1262508 | 32122.74 |
STOCK OPTIONS | 10849 | 298.76 | 9509 | 266.72 | 46073 | 1261.41 |
FII BUY IN F&O | 902.45 CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURES | 847.98 CR | |||
FII NET BUY | 890.01 CR | DII NET SELL | 286.52 CR | |||
Notes: | ||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | ||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | ||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | ||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | ||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
Saturday, March 26, 2011
NIFTY WEEKEND ANALYSIS for week ended 26th March. 2011
Nifty started the week on a positive note and continued to rise through out the week and closed at 5654 as compared to previous weekly close at 5376.95. A good gain of nearly 280 points for the week and expiry near the corner could take the bears for more ride and more pains for the put writers, who have had two very good expiry as nifty closed at the low on the expiry day.
Let us see the alignment of some of the key technical Indicators
Let us see the alignment of some of the key technical Indicators
Elliot Wave Count:
wave 1 down: 6312-5762=560 points
wave 2 up : 5762-6152= 405 points
wave 3 down: 6152- 5177= 975 points
wave 4 up : ????????
possibilities are23.6% @ 5177 to 5414= 237 points (achieved)
38.2%@ 5177 to 5562= 385 points(achieved)
50% @ 5177 to 5681= 504 points??? is 4 up over?????
Is it Flat Correction or a five wave Triangle, and e wave of 4 ended on friday ???? 4th still on or is it over???. will have to see the price actions as it unfolds during the week(Other EW possibilities also exist, to avoid any confusion to the readers posting only what looks like the most obvious count)
Wave 5 to follow
wave 1 down: 6312-5762=560 points
wave 2 up : 5762-6152= 405 points
wave 3 down: 6152- 5177= 975 points
wave 4 up : ????????
possibilities are23.6% @ 5177 to 5414= 237 points (achieved)
38.2%@ 5177 to 5562= 385 points(achieved)
50% @ 5177 to 5681= 504 points??? is 4 up over?????
Is it Flat Correction or a five wave Triangle, and e wave of 4 ended on friday ???? 4th still on or is it over???. will have to see the price actions as it unfolds during the week(Other EW possibilities also exist, to avoid any confusion to the readers posting only what looks like the most obvious count)
Wave 5 to follow
BUZZINGNIFTY: POSSIBLE 5 WAVE TRIANGLE IN 4TH WAVE |
Ichimoku: Gave a weak buy signal on 4th March with the nifty around 5420 level then a sell signal during the week and almost turned up again in buy mode on friday. For the first time since the fall from Jan the price action have moved in the cloud, will gain more strength when the nifty would start trading above the cloud.
BUZZINGNIFTY: ICHIMOKU- KOMU |
BUZZINGNIFTY: DAILY BOLLINGER BAND |
BUZZINGNIFTY: WEEKLY BOLLINGER BAND |
In the weekly chart the prices rose from the bottom of the bollinger band, first resistance would be the mid point of the band currently at 5690, which is also the target for 4th wave up.
BUZZINGNIFTY: MONTHLY BOLLINGER BAND |
Since the recovery from the 2008 global meltdown price action in Nifty has never been below the monthly mid-band of the bollinger band, indicating that we are still in bulls market, after touching the midpoint of the band last month, and consolidation followed and on Friday the close was at months high point, the upper boundary of the band is currently around 6100 odd level.
DEATH CROSS( 50DMA Crossing below 200DMA)
The DEATH CROSS was Formed in Nifty on 4th March 2011, It is considered highly Bearish, The Last Time when we saw this formation Nifty slipped from 4800 levels to 2300 odd Levels, as the name itself indicates highest degree of Bearishness there is a lot to cheer in the bears camp at the moment. The only hope for the bulls is that the 200 DMA is still rising.( Ideally both moving averages should be moving down in this formation.)
End of the week and nifty decided to move past 50DMA, the next test of the strength of the bulls would be 200dma roughly around 5697 level.
Recently there was a similar cross in S&P Index in US, but the Price movement proved otherwise,
BUZZINGNIFTY: NIFTY DEATH CROSS |
BULLS/ BEAR POWER
This is one indicator which i,ve recently added to the study, this simply indicates the power of the BULL/ BEAR as compared to the price action.
BUZZINGNIFTY: BULL/BEAR POWER |
BEARISH FLAG
In one of the previous post we saw a triangle formation and a bearish flag in Nifty, although the triangle has given a breakout, the possibility of flag still remains.
BUZZINGNIFTY: RESISTANCE LINE |
A cluster of resistances for nifty on the way up, a close above 5700 will give bulls more strength, making this a good point to go shorts with small stop-loss, above this we might well be moving to newer highs.
Labels:
NIFTY WEEKEND ANALYSIS
NIFTY CONTINUATION OF PATTERNS--FOLLOWUP POST 2
NIFTY CONTINUATION OF PATTERNS |
The first post regarding continuation of patterns in Nifty first posted on 16th Feb 2011, at that time AB up was under formation.
Subsequent post on 26th Feb indicated BC was near over and larger CD could start.
As the price action in the last week indicates making of CD leg of the formation, will have to watch if the move really is on the way up to complete the formation.
Below is the detailed analysis of the earlier formations and the possible targets for the current formation
Down Trend 1( Start of continuation Patterns)
BAT PATTERN(BEARISH)
fall 6284 to 5966 = 318 points in 5 days
rise 5966 to 6151= 186 points or 58.5% in 3 days
fall 6151 to 5937= 214 points or 115% in 4 days
rise 5937 to 6338= 410 points or 195%in 5 days
PATTERN COMPLETED
resulting in a bigger fall to 5690 in 15 days
Down Trend 2(Larger Pattern)
GARTLEY( BEARISH)
fall 6338 to 5690 = 648 points in 15days
rise 5690 to 6069= 379 points or 58.5% in 6 days
fall 6069 to 5721=348 points or 90% in 5 days
rise 5721 to 6181= 460 points or 135%in 16 days
PATTERN COMPLETED
resulting in a bigger fall to 5177 in 15 days
Down Trend 3(Largest in the making)
POSSIBLE FORMATION
BAT / ALTERNATE BAT/ CRAB PATTERN(ALL BEARISH)
fall 6181 to 5177 = 1004 points in 37 days
rise 5177 to 5599= 422 points in 7 days
fall 5599 to 5232= 367 points in 7 days
IF THE NIFTY GETS SUPPORT FROM HERE THEN POSSIBLE TARGETS
BAT PATTERN
a).rise 5232 to 5965= 733 points in 35-40 days
b)..rise 5232 to 6310= 1078 points in 35-40 days
ALTERNATE BAT PATTERN
a).rise 5232 to 6065= 833 points in 35-40 days
b)..rise 5232 to 6191= 959 points in 35-40 days
CRAB PATTERN
a).rise 5232 to 6383= 1151 points in 35-40 days
b)..rise 5232 to 6799= 1567 points in 35-40 days
In reference to the post read:
BUZZING NIFTY: FOLLOWUP POST NIFTY CONTINUATION OF PATTERNS
BUZZING NIFTY: NIFTY CONTINUATION OF PATTERNS
Labels:
GARTLEY
Friday, March 25, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 25-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 225181 | 6335.41 | 114872 | 3233.38 | 499162 | 14187.83 | |
INDEX OPTIONS | 309844 | 8691.98 | 297625 | 8275.24 | 1977299 | 55901.31 | |
STOCK FUTURES | 176882 | 4660.01 | 187402 | 4889.09 | 1241354 | 31469.44 | |
STOCK OPTIONS | 9360 | 264.39 | 9277 | 261.54 | 43017 | 1170.78 | |
FII BUY IN F&O | 3292.54 CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURES | 3102.03 CR | ||||
FII NET BUY | 1446.18 CR | DII NET SELL | 313.77 CR | ||||
Notes: | |||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
NIFTY TRIANGLE BREAKOUT
TRIANGLE BREAK |
Technical target for the breakout is 250-700 points from the breakout point ,roughly 5510,
In the recent times the triangles have been giving false break before resuming the trend, also a close above previous highs of 5599 & 5608 might see nifty flying to 5750-65 levels.
Labels:
TRIANGLE
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 24-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 125655 | 3479.28 | 100853 | 2793.34 | 478087 | 13264.04 | |
INDEX OPTIONS | 176261 | 4818.27 | 126318 | 3466.29 | 1933364 | 53384.24 | |
STOCK FUTURES | 135731 | 3363.45 | 139189 | 3460.14 | 1200212 | 29793.85 | |
STOCK OPTIONS | 7714 | 191.72 | 7200 | 184.33 | 43338 | 1153.56 | |
FII BUY IN F&O | 1948.62CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURE | 685.94CR | ||||
FII NET BUY | 307.82CR | DII NET BUY | 378.12CR | ||||
Notes: | |||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
Thursday, March 24, 2011
NIFTY CHANNEL BREAK &TRIANGLE --UPDATE
NIFTY CHANNEL BREAKOUT IN HOURLY CHART |
NIFTY TRIANGLE IN DAILY CHARTS--- UPDATE
As nifty is approaching the Apex of the triangle the range is shrinking, today the prices reached near the top of the band, watch out the breakout. If fail to cross the upper band and nifty fall back to channel boundry in hourly charts , nifty may start moving towards the lower band of the triangle.
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO BEARISH CROSS
ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO
Gave a sell signal today with the cross of Tenkan-Sen moving below Kijun-Sen, Since the cross is below Komu the degree of bearishness is high.
Also since the fall from 6339 its for the first time the prices are coming near the komu currently @5478,the bulls will gain more strength once the Nifty starts trading in the cloud.
Gave a sell signal today with the cross of Tenkan-Sen moving below Kijun-Sen, Since the cross is below Komu the degree of bearishness is high.
Also since the fall from 6339 its for the first time the prices are coming near the komu currently @5478,the bulls will gain more strength once the Nifty starts trading in the cloud.
Labels:
ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 22-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 109610 | 2975.71 | 48236 | 1311.23 | 457826 | 12435.62 | |
INDEX OPTIONS | 186705 | 5003.86 | 224205 | 6003.33 | 1896201 | 51328.27 | |
STOCK FUTURES | 70223 | 1771.13 | 66422 | 1643.67 | 1149098 | 27947.57 | |
STOCK OPTIONS | 7367 | 193.48 | 6703 | 173.63 | 44870 | 1177.38 | |
FII BUY IN F&O | 812.34 CR | FII BUY IN INDEX FUTURES | 1664.48CR | ||||
FII NET BUY | 236.29 CR | DII NET BUY | 96.04 CR | ||||
Notes: | |||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
Monday, March 21, 2011
NIFTY SECTORIAL INDEX ANALYSIS
Nifty closed today on a flattish note, although intraday the moment was around 70 odd points in nifty futures, the premium in nifty futures suggest the BULLS are not ready to give up the fight.
As already discussed about the TRIANGLE formation in Nifty, mostly a similar pattern is visible in almost all the sectors, with a couple of sectors/ index moving ahead of nifty.
NIFTY
The triangle in nifty is not breached, as price moves indicate there would be no major changes in the prices and nifty may continue to trade within the triangle for some more time.
BANK NIFTY
In the above chart it can be seen that the Nifty is trading near the lower band of the Triangle, The Bank Chart is however trading near the UpperBand of the Triangle and the close today was positive with banking index closing at 10723.60 or 7.70 points up from Fridays close. The last rally in nifty was mostly lead by Bank Nifty , will this continue this time around ??? Watch closely the banking index for early signs of recovery in the Nifty
Like IT Index the PSE index is also favouring the Bears and dragging the nifty Down.
PSU BANK INDEX
Although the overall Banking Index is trading near the top band of the Triangle, the PSU banking index touched the Bottom of the triangle and managed to close near the lower band.
The MIDCAP INDEX seems like favouring the Bulls, although it closed in RED today but the close was above the upper band of the triange, today also it tested the upper band like it did on Friday but managed to close above the Triangles upper band.Keep a watch , if it comes back in the triangle then the breakout would be false and the momentum might move in the favour of the Bears.
DEFTY INDEX
As already discussed about the TRIANGLE formation in Nifty, mostly a similar pattern is visible in almost all the sectors, with a couple of sectors/ index moving ahead of nifty.
NIFTY
TRIANGLE FORMATION IN NIFTY |
BANK NIFTY
BANK NIFTY TRIANGLE |
IT INDEX
IT INDEX |
The IT Index has a different story and the trend line is violated and the index closed 47.80 points down from the Fridays close. Will this drag Nifty down???? Watch out the price action as it unfolds in the coming days.
PSE INDEX
PSE INDEX |
PSU BANK INDEX
MIDCAP INDEX
DEFTY INDEX
Defty which is the major indicator of the FIIs trading activity was also the only other index apart from BANK Index which managed to close in Green 1.55 points up. Defty is trading Near the lower band of the triangle.
All other INDEX are in line with Nifty, the advice is to go with the trend in Nifty and if the triangle breaks only then take good positions , else stay out or trade light.
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 21-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | ||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | |
INDEX FUTURES | 65267 | 1762.57 | 68909 | 1859.80 | 446768 | 12015.67 |
INDEX OPTIONS | 227884 | 6115.16 | 259723 | 6985.07 | 1942975 | 52117.83 |
STOCK FUTURES | 59230 | 1532.01 | 61159 | 1557.92 | 1134289 | 27327.71 |
STOCK OPTIONS | 8999 | 235.16 | 8945 | 232.83 | 44764 | 1158.26 |
FII SELL IN F&O | 990.73CR | FII SELL IN INDEX FUTURES | 97.23CR | |||
FII NET SELL | 97.02CR | DII NET BUY | 47.98CR | |||
Notes: | ||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | ||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | ||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | ||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | ||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
Saturday, March 19, 2011
NIFTY WEEKEND ANALYSIS for week ended 19th March. 2011
Nifty ended yet another week on a negative note, eating up all the gains for the week,
On 7th Feb the closing price of Nifty was 5376.95and on 18th March nifty closed at 5373.70. Practically nifty has gone nowhere. The High during the period was 5608 and the Low Being 5177, the mid point of which is 5392.5. All in All a bad period for the day traders, with Stop-loss taken on both the sides.
Let us see the alignment of some of the key technical Indicators
On 7th Feb the closing price of Nifty was 5376.95and on 18th March nifty closed at 5373.70. Practically nifty has gone nowhere. The High during the period was 5608 and the Low Being 5177, the mid point of which is 5392.5. All in All a bad period for the day traders, with Stop-loss taken on both the sides.
Let us see the alignment of some of the key technical Indicators
Elliot Wave Count:
wave 1 down: 6312-5762=560 points
wave 2 up : 5762-6152= 405 points
wave 3 down: 6152- 5177= 975 points
wave 4 up : ????????
possibilities are23.6% @ 5177 to 5414= 237 points (achieved)
38.2%@ 5177 to 5562= 385 points(achieved)
50% @ 5177 to 5681= 504 points??? is 4 up over?????
Is it Flat Correction or a Triangle???? 4th still on or is it over???. will have to see the price actions as it unfolds during the week(Other EW possibilities also exist, to avoid any confusion to the readers posting only what looks like the most obvious count)
Wave 5 to follow
wave 1 down: 6312-5762=560 points
wave 2 up : 5762-6152= 405 points
wave 3 down: 6152- 5177= 975 points
wave 4 up : ????????
possibilities are23.6% @ 5177 to 5414= 237 points (achieved)
38.2%@ 5177 to 5562= 385 points(achieved)
50% @ 5177 to 5681= 504 points??? is 4 up over?????
Is it Flat Correction or a Triangle???? 4th still on or is it over???. will have to see the price actions as it unfolds during the week(Other EW possibilities also exist, to avoid any confusion to the readers posting only what looks like the most obvious count)
Wave 5 to follow
POSSIBLE ELLIOT WAVE FORMATION |
Ichimoku: Gave a weak buy signal on 4th March with the nifty around 5420 level. Tenkan Sen crossed Kijun Sen indicating buy Signal, Komu has not been tested since 11th Jan 2011, for the current week the Komu border is around 5445 which could act as resistance to the already generated buy signal, once the prices trade in the Komu cloud bulls will get strength.
ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO |
NIFTY BOLLINGER BAND |
DEATH CROSS( 50DMA Crossing below 200DMA)
The DEATH CROSS was Formed in Nifty on 4th March 2011, It is considered highly Bearish, The Last Time when we saw this formation Nifty slipped from 4800 levels to 2300 odd Levels, as the name itself indicates highest degree of Bearishness there is a lot to cheer in the bears camp at the moment. The only hope for the bulls is that the 200 DMA is still rising.( Ideally both moving averages should be moving down in this formation.)
DEATH CROSS |
DOLLAR INDEX: There is a steep falling wedge in formation in the DOLLAR INDEX, which is a reversal pattern, sooner or later the prices will start moving north which will definitely not be a good sign for the bulls.
RISING CRUDE PRICES: A lot of struggle is going on in the Oil Rich nations to break the Dictator Rules in the respective country, no sooner the matter is resolved there is another outbreak in the other country, keeping constant pressure on the Prices, India being a Net importer of the Oil will only have more pressure if there is major revolt or any interference from other countries, to uproot the Dictators off Power.
Tsunami Hit JAPANESE Economy: God have mercy on poor people of Japan who are facing the Wrath of the Gods, the leak of radiation is only raising the problems for the economy, the impact both in terms of Health and Economy will definitely hurt more.
Also Read this as a port of the post
http://buzzingnifty.blogspot.com/2011/03/nifty-triangle-bearish-flag-formation.html
Friday, March 18, 2011
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 18-Mar-2011
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 79027 | 2140.67 | 98089 | 2650.69 | 454580 | 12237.59 | |
INDEX OPTIONS | 233745 | 6264.42 | 251466 | 6772.75 | 1923232 | 51674.09 | |
STOCK FUTURES | 42882 | 1111.24 | 54439 | 1383.85 | 1130294 | 27281.47 | |
STOCK OPTIONS | 13152 | 356.03 | 13675 | 371.16 | 43704 | 1141.56 | |
FII SELL IN F&O | 1306.09CR | FII SELL IN INDEX FUTURE | 510.02CR | ||||
FII NET SELL | 523.51CR | DII NET BUY | 296.3CR | ||||
Notes: | |||||||
Both buy and sell positions have been considered | |||||||
Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty | |||||||
Value & Open Interest at the end of day: | |||||||
Options Value (End of day) = Underlying Close Price * Qty | |||||||
Futures Value (End of day) = Closing Futures Price * Qty | |||||||
(closing price is the daily settlement price of futures contracts) |
Labels:
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
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NIFTY STOP AND REVERSE TRADING STRATEGY
NIFTY SAR(STOP AND REVERSE) FOR THE NEXT DAY IS POSTED ON DAILY BASIS ON FACEBOOK GROUP NIFTYHOLIC.
ALL VALUES ARE FOR SPOT NIFTY, TRADE THE FUTURES ACCORDINGLY
SAMPLE SAR
NIFTY SAR FOR 23RD MARCH 2011
ALL VALUES ARE FOR SPOT NIFTY, TRADE THE FUTURES ACCORDINGLY
SAMPLE SAR
NIFTY SAR FOR 23RD MARCH 2011
SAR FOR 23RD MARCH,
SELL NIFTY BELOW 5405 AND GO LONG ABOVE 5430
IF HOLDS ON CLOSING BASIS
...
LAST TRADE
PART BOOKED @5385=120 POINTS OR 6000 RS.
CLOSED THE POSITION ON 22ND MARCH @5405=100 POINTS OR 5000 RS.
TOTAL PROFIT IN LAST TRADE WITH 2 LOTS=11000/-
AS ON 22ND MARCH
NIFTY RANGE FOR THE MARCH SERIES 5214.38 -- 5613.32
PCR INDEX OPTIONS-- 1.13(BEARISH)
INDIA VIX --22.26
SMR(smart Money Ratio)=16.73053(Bearish)
DISCLAIMER
Any action you choose to take in the markets is totally your own responsibility. Buzzingnifty™ will not be liable for any, direct or indirect, consequential or incidental damages or loss arising out of the use of this information. The services are based on technical analysis. They are neither an offer to sell nor solicitation to buy any of the securities mentioned herein. The writers may or may not be trading in the securities mentioned.